Historical Analytics

Live

After Hours3h 16m agoSynced 07:00 PM ET

AMD data may be stale: Data is stale — last row 196 minutes ago

AMD · percentage-point returns · existing analytics engine

Evidence Quality

1,098

Total AMD rows

1,098

With outcomes (100%)

483

Tradable (calls/puts)

Stronger (100+) · n=1098100% labeled

Win% = AMD moved in predicted direction (calls↑ or puts↓). Expected Return = (win rate × avg win) + (loss rate × avg loss). All statistics are in-sample. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Total Rows

1,098

AMD historical rows

Rows with Outcomes

1,098

labeler has processed

Tradable Rows

483

call/put bias only

Win Rate 30m

61.4%

1098 samples · Stronger (100+)

Win Rate 60m

42.9%

60-minute horizon

Win Rate EOD

60.3%

end-of-day horizon

Avg Return 30m

+0.04%

Median +0.08%

Expected Return 30m

+0.28%

Payoff 1.51×

Best 30m

+3.99%

Worst -4.75%

Score Performance

Win% = AMD moved in direction of bias (calls↑ or puts↓)

Condition	N	Win% 30m	Win% 60m	Win% EOD	Avg 30m	Median 30m	Payoff	Expected
+3 to +6 (Bullish)	281	68.1%	34.0%	57.6%	+0.24%	+0.28%	1.11×	+0.24%
-2 to +2 (Neutral)	615	—	—	—	+0.07%	+0.02%	—	—
-6 to -3 (Bearish)	202	52.0%	55.1%	63.9%	-0.33%	-0.05%	2.26×	+0.33%

Time of Day (ET)

Condition	N	Win% 30m	Win% 60m	Win% EOD	Avg 30m	Median 30m	Payoff	Expected
9:30–9:45 (Opening)	42	53.8%	27.3%	53.8%	+0.06%	+0.02%	0.60×	-0.14%
9:45–10:30 (Early)	126	70.5%	51.7%	71.8%	-0.15%	+0.05%	1.03×	+0.35%
10:30–12:00 (Mid-morning)	252	63.4%	42.1%	46.5%	-0.03%	-0.01%	1.31×	+0.23%
12:00–2:00 (Lunch)	321	60.7%	43.1%	60.0%	+0.15%	+0.16%	1.73×	+0.33%
2:00–3:00 (Afternoon)	176	62.0%	38.5%	76.0%	-0.01%	-0.08%	4.33×	+0.44%
3:00–4:00 (Power Hour)	181	45.6%	50.0%	69.2%	+0.14%	+0.24%	2.72×	+0.22%

VWAP State

Condition	N	Win% 30m	Win% 60m	Win% EOD	Avg 30m	Median 30m	Payoff	Expected
Above VWAP	618	68.1%	34.0%	57.6%	+0.23%	+0.25%	1.11×	+0.24%
Below VWAP	480	52.0%	55.1%	63.9%	-0.21%	-0.10%	2.26×	+0.33%

Timeframe Alignment (5m/15m/1h)

Condition	N	Win% 30m	Win% 60m	Win% EOD	Avg 30m	Median 30m	Payoff	Expected
All Bull (5m/15m/1h)	266	69.8%	33.3%	52.5%	+0.34%	+0.37%	1.15×	+0.30%
2 of 3 Bull	252	59.7%	40.0%	75.4%	+0.25%	+0.17%	0.89×	+0.06%
Mixed	316	80.7%	85.7%	87.5%	-0.23%	-0.20%	5.64×	+0.90%
2 of 3 Bear	181	40.6%	62.7%	56.3%	-0.04%	+0.15%	1.82×	+0.07%
All Bear (5m/15m/1h)	83	58.9%	0.0%	64.9%	-0.39%	-0.47%	1.95×	+0.42%

By Final Bias

Win% for calls = AMD up 30m later. For puts = AMD down.

Condition	N	Win% 30m	Win% 60m	Win% EOD	Avg 30m	Median 30m	Payoff	Expected
calls	281	68.1%	34.0%	57.6%	+0.24%	+0.28%	1.11×	+0.24%
puts	202	52.0%	55.1%	63.9%	-0.33%	-0.05%	2.26×	+0.33%
no_trade	615	—	—	—	+0.07%	+0.02%	—	—

Condition

Win% 30m

Win% 60m

Win% EOD

Avg 30m

Median 30m

Payoff

Expected

+3 to +6 (Bullish)

281

68.1%

34.0%

57.6%

+0.24%

+0.28%

1.11×

+0.24%

-2 to +2 (Neutral)

615

—

+0.07%

+0.02%

—

-6 to -3 (Bearish)

202

52.0%

55.1%

63.9%

-0.33%

-0.05%

2.26×

+0.33%

Condition

Win% 30m

Win% 60m

Win% EOD

Avg 30m

Median 30m

Payoff

Expected

9:30–9:45 (Opening)

53.8%

27.3%

53.8%

+0.06%

+0.02%

0.60×

-0.14%

9:45–10:30 (Early)

126

70.5%

51.7%

71.8%

-0.15%

+0.05%

1.03×

+0.35%

10:30–12:00 (Mid-morning)

252

63.4%

42.1%

46.5%

-0.03%

-0.01%

1.31×

+0.23%

12:00–2:00 (Lunch)

321

60.7%

43.1%

60.0%

+0.15%

+0.16%

1.73×

+0.33%

2:00–3:00 (Afternoon)

176

62.0%

38.5%

76.0%

-0.01%

-0.08%

4.33×

+0.44%

3:00–4:00 (Power Hour)

181

45.6%

50.0%

69.2%

+0.14%

+0.24%

2.72×

+0.22%

Condition

Win% 30m

Win% 60m

Win% EOD

Avg 30m

Median 30m

Payoff

Expected

Above VWAP

618

68.1%

34.0%

57.6%

+0.23%

+0.25%

1.11×

+0.24%

Below VWAP

480

52.0%

55.1%

63.9%

-0.21%

-0.10%

2.26×

+0.33%

Condition

Win% 30m

Win% 60m

Win% EOD

Avg 30m

Median 30m

Payoff

Expected

All Bull (5m/15m/1h)

266

69.8%

33.3%

52.5%

+0.34%

+0.37%

1.15×

+0.30%

2 of 3 Bull

252

59.7%

40.0%

75.4%

+0.25%

+0.17%

0.89×

+0.06%

Mixed

316

80.7%

85.7%

87.5%

-0.23%

-0.20%

5.64×

+0.90%

2 of 3 Bear

181

40.6%

62.7%

56.3%

-0.04%

+0.15%

1.82×

+0.07%

All Bear (5m/15m/1h)

58.9%

0.0%

64.9%

-0.39%

-0.47%

1.95×

+0.42%

Condition

Win% 30m

Win% 60m

Win% EOD

Avg 30m

Median 30m

Payoff

Expected

calls

281

68.1%

34.0%

57.6%

+0.24%

+0.28%

1.11×

+0.24%

puts

202

52.0%

55.1%

63.9%

-0.33%

-0.05%

2.26×

+0.33%

no_trade

615

—

+0.07%

+0.02%

—